Track record
Every likelihood and ranking we publish, scored against what actually happened. Misses shown next to hits, uncorrected.
Nothing has been scored yet.
The 2026 season has not started, so no published call has a result to be measured against. This page stays empty rather than showing example numbers, because a track record made of placeholder data would defeat the only purpose it has.
Published calls will appear here after kickoff.
How this page works
A published prediction is never edited or deleted after kickoff. If something needs correcting, the correction is added as a dated annotation next to the original call. Win likelihoods are scored with Brier score rather than accuracy alone, because a model can be accurate and still be dishonest about its confidence. A 60 percent call should win about 60 percent of the time; the reliability curve is how we check whether ours do.